The role of rating curve uncertainty in real-time flood forecasting
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Advances in real-time flood forecasting.
This paper discusses the modelling of rainfall-flow (rainfall-run-off) and flow-routeing processes in river systems within the context of real-time flood forecasting. It is argued that deterministic, reductionist (or 'bottom-up') models are inappropriate for real-time forecasting because of the inherent uncertainty that characterizes river-catchment dynamics and the problems of model over-param...
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The real time flood forecasting is one of the most effective nonstructural measures for flood management. For formulating the flood forecast in the real time, the observed meteorological and flow data are transmitted to the forecasting station through the different means of data communication which include telephone, wireless and network of telemetry stations etc. The collected meteorological a...
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A methodology for propagating and constraining the uncertainty inherent in real-time flood forecasting is presented and demonstrated on an application to the River Severn, UK. The flood forecasting system is based on a cascade of rainfall-runoff and flood routing models, developed using stochastic transfer functions with state dependent parameterisations to allow for nonlinearity. The nonlinear...
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This paper reports on experience with developing the flood forecasting model for the Upper Danube basin and its operational use since 2006. The model system consists of hydrological and hydrodynamic components, and involves precipitation forecasts. The model parameters were estimated based on the dominant processes concept. Runoff data are assimilated in real time to update modelled soil moistu...
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از محوری ترین اثراتی که یک فیلم سینمایی ایجاد می کند دیالوگ هایی است که هنرپیش گان فیلم میگویند. به زعم یک فیلم ساز, یک شیوه متأثر نمودن مخاطب از اثر منظوره نیروی گفتارهای گوینده, مثل نیروی عاطفی, ترس آور, غم انگیز, هیجان انگیز و غیره, است. این مطالعه به بررسی این مسأله مبادرت کرده است که آیا نیروی فراگفتاری هنرپیش گان به مثابه ی اعمال گفتاری در پنج فیلم هالیوودی در نسخه های دوبله شده باز تولید...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Water Resources Research
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0043-1397
DOI: 10.1002/2016wr020225